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Hurricane Jose not likely to hit U.S. — but forecast is 'tricky'


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#1 :cadet

 
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Posted 13 September 2017 - 07:03 AM

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Hurricane Jose was slowly marching toward the U.S. on Wednesday, taking an odd, looping path that was not expected to impact areas of Florida or Texas battered by the devastating one-two punch of hurricanes Harvey and Irma.

At least, meteorologists don't think it will.

The National Weather Service said Wednesday that Jose was moving toward the southeast but was expected to make a slow clockwise loop, moving west- northwestward by late Thursday. 

AccuWeather meteorologist Evan Duffey said Jose was moving in a slow loop because there were no strong systems in the area driving it in any direction. Remnants of Irma, though weak, likely will gently nudge Jose away from the U.S. coast, he said.

"It's like a tennis ball being pushed around by astronauts in the space station," he said.By Monday the storm will be somewhere between the Mid-Atlantic states and Bermuda, looking for a weather system to push it somewhere, he said.

 

"We are not feeling too confident on where it goes," Duffey said. "It's been looping around, and that is when things start to get really tricky."

Duffey said, however, that only 10%-20% of the models show Jose reaching the East Coast, and almost all of those involve areas between South Carolina and Canada.

On Tuesday morning, Jose was barely a hurricane at all, driving winds of 75 mph and not forecast to grow much stronger. The storm was located about 435 miles south of Bermuda and more than 700 miles east of Florida.

AccuWeather forecasts Jose to fluctuate between a minimal hurricane and tropical storm over the next several days. Bermuda might get gusty winds and heavy rains.

Although landfall in the U.S. was considered unlikely, it is possible Jose could get close enough to throw clouds, rain and gusty winds as far west as the immediate Mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts. The most likely impact from Jose will be rough currents and beach erosion along much of the nation's Atlantic coastline, Duffey said.






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